CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2013-05-22T13:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2013-05-22T13:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/306/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-05-24T17:35Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -55
Dst min. time: 2013-05-25T08:00Z
Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-05-25T17:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
:Issued: 2013 May 22 1728 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A M5 flare was detected peaking around 13:32 UT on May 22d. It is associated with a rise for all proton levels up to 50 MeV above the 10.0 pfu treshold. A CME was detected by LASCO C3 around 15:00 UT, but there is still a data gap. From the available information the CME has an angular width of around 120 degrees and a speed around 1000 km/s. Based on this data the CME will reach Earth on May 25th around 17:00 UT. Active (K >= 4) to storm (K >= 5) geomagnetic conditions are expected. #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 48.12 hour(s)
Difference: -23.42 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2013-05-22T17:28Z
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